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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

John Nixon

Team: Bromborough Social ClubDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

944

Current Handicap

7
Honours
Season:

47

Matches Played

29

Wins

18

Losses

62%

Win Rate

10.1

Avg Win Margin

8.2

Avg Loss Margin

18-3

Home Record

11-15

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
47 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/3/2026

A large recent sample: 47 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1513/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
10-Game Streak13 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 47 matches

+7 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

30 May9 Jul21 May15 Jul5 May11 Jun20 Jul3 Aug-125811

Gives 7 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current7
Win Percentage(35%)
62%
score+0.23→contribution+0.08
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
10.1
score+0.36→contribution+0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
80%
score+0.60→contribution+0.06
Opponent Strength(15%)
854
score+0.07→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.235
Sample Size Confidence
100%(47/33 matches)
Rating1094 → shrunk 1094→ adjusted 944
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)944
Recency Blend40% (47 recent matches)
Final Rating944
Handicap
7

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

29W18L47 matches·61.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Social Club2024–2026Division C47291861.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/3/2026Rita GunnigleA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026Lucas FarragherA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/29/2026Mark HughesA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
7/28/2026Gary BrabanderH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Paul MossA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/21/2026Ann PritchardH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/20/2026Ross BoardmanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026Teresa CoxH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026John BarkerH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/30/2026Mark PeersA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Jamilla Ball ***H21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026John MurrayH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/11/2026Doug TaylorA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Paul MossH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
5/21/2026Mark PeersH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Philip ChildA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
5/13/2026Ron WhyteA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Keith BarnettA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Calum JonesH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
8/13/2025Rita GunnigleH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
8/5/2025Michael DabbsA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/28/2025vs Pensby DA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Paula JenningsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/23/2025Bob ThomasH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Paul StampA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/18/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025Adrian CairnsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/5/2025vs Sea DogH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/4/2025vs Royden HallH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision C
5/27/2025Shaun LuckieA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Little SuttonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
5/14/2025Colin WolfarthA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/13/2024Colin TurnerA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
8/1/2024Nick KavanaghA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/17/2024vs Tixall BH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/10/2024vs Heswall Rbl BH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/9/2024George LowdenA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
6/27/2024Philip ChildH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision C
6/26/2024vs Albany BH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
6/19/2024vs Oxton Cons BH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/18/2024Nigel WardA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/12/2024vs Pensby CA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024Malcolm GilfoyleA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/29/2024vs Sea DogH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
5/28/2024Bill DowA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Phil GordonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Colin LitsterA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMark Hughes / Graham WrightAlbany7-15LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJane Lloyd / Gordon DitchfieldBebington Park15-14WINLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJoe Brett / Dave TinkerAlbany11-15LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy3 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRod WhiteSea Dog21-14WINLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGeoff MillichapOxton Cons B20-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundAndy PritchardBromborough Pool B17-21LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup2 games · 1W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundWalk OverAlbany B21-0WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMark WoodCammell Laird20-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

13

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLLWW
Last 1070% win rate↓ declining
LLLWWWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Rita Gunnigle11250%8/3/2026
Paul Moss202100%7/22/2026
Mark Peers202100%6/30/2026
Philip Child202100%5/19/2026
Sea Dog11250%6/5/2025
Lucas Farragher0110%7/30/2026
Mark Hughes0110%7/29/2026
Gary Brabander101100%7/28/2026
Ann Pritchard101100%7/21/2026
Ross Boardman101100%7/20/2026
Biggest Win
Philip Child (+21)6/27/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Bill Dow (-17)5/28/2024
Best Season
202679% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202447% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
48% → 75%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
80435 known · 12 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
21-1264% win rate
Division C61.7%
29W·18L·47 played

Debut

May 7, 2024

Latest

Aug 3, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.7 (47 total)

Seasons

202420252026